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White House Newsletter Says Obamacare Estimates Off By More Than 100 Percent

On Monday, the White House sent out calculation about the Affordable Health Care Act in its daily newsletter — a newsletter that isn’t always published on a daily basis.

As President Trump rallies hard against Obamacare in his tweets, today’s email made the following claim: “When Obamacare was signed into law, CBO estimated that 23 million people would be covered in Obama’s exchanges by 2017. They were off by more than 100%. Only 10.3 million people are covered by Obamacare.”

If using the newsletter’s statistics to calculate the percentages of uninsured Americans, the 2017 estimate is off by 56 percent, not 100 percent. 10.3 million is 44 percent of 23 million making the estimate off by 56 percent.

However, not only do the White House percentages not add up, its estimates of people who have gained access to health care coverage are also inaccurate. According to Politifact, 20 million people have gained access to health insurance under the ACA after estimates released by the Department of Health and Human Services.

The current Senate health care bill was reviewed by the Congressional Budget Office on Monday, and the office estimates that the bill would raise the number of uninsured people to 22 million by 2026.

“By 2026, an estimated 49 million people would be uninsured, compared with 28 million who would lack insurance that year under the current law,” according to the Congressional Budget Office Cost Estimate release.